Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
38% / 28% / 34%SpielergebnisHeimsieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Doppelte Chance1272%1.39
Über 55% · Unter 45%Goals 2.5Über55%1.82
Ja 58% · Nein 42%Beide Teams treffenJa58%1.72
2.87 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1——
10.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Reading win38%2.63
Unentschieden28%3.57
Luton win34%2.94
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Heim share of expected goals 52.6%
Total expected goals2.87Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Über 55% · Unter 45%
Auswärts share of expected goals 47.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nein 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Heim-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchReading
DLDLL
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2
SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5
Auswärts-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchLuton
WLWWW
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12
SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
38%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
34%2
Points from supplied form
121.51
Expected goals
1.36ReadingLuton
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Reading vs Luton FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Reading Gewinn 38%，Unentschieden 28%，Luton Gewinn 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.87 · Über 2.5 55% · Current selection Über。