Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
38% / 28% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Doppia Chance1272%1.39
Sopra 55% · Sotto 45%Goals 2.5Sopra55%1.82
Sì 58% · No 42%Entrambe le squadre segnanoSì58%1.72
2.87 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1——
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Reading win38%2.63
Pareggio28%3.57
Luton win34%2.94
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 52.6%
Total expected goals2.87Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 55% · Sotto 45%
Trasferta share of expected goals 47.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSì 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchReading
DLDLL
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2
SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchLuton
WLWWW
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12
SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
38%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%2
Points from supplied form
121.51
Expected goals
1.36ReadingLuton
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Reading vs Luton FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Reading vinta 38%，Pareggio 28%，Luton vinta 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.87 · Sopra 2.5 55% · Current selection Sopra。