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CHE Schweiz - Challenge League · Spiel ·

Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.94 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg37%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg38%
Market-based forecastAuswärtssiegTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–1WinterthurStade Lausanne-Ouchy
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über56% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
37% / 25% / 38%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Doppelte Chance1274.7%1.34
Über 56% · Unter 44%Goals 2.5Über56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nein 41%Beide Teams treffenJa59%1.69
2.94 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.1 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Winterthur win37%2.702.5036.5%
Unentschieden25%4.003.6025.4%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win38%2.632.4038.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Winterthur1.49

Heim share of expected goals 50.7%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 56% · Unter 44%

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1.45

Auswärts share of expected goals 49.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nein 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Winterthur

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
38%
8
Points from supplied form
13
1.49
Expected goals
1.45
WinterthurStade Lausanne-Ouchy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Winterthur signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stade Lausanne-Ouchy signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Winterthur Gewinn 37%,Unentschieden 25%,Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Gewinn 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Über 2.5 56% · Current selection Über