Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
49% / 27% / 24%SpielergebnisHeimsieg49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Arouca win (23.9%)Doppelte Chance1X76.1%1.31
Über 62% · Unter 38%Goals 2.5Über62%1.61
Ja 63% · Nein 37%Beide Teams treffenJa63%1.59
3.20 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1——
8.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapFC Arouca winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guimaraes win49%2.041.9149%0.0 pp
Unentschieden27%3.703.4027.5%-0.5 pp
FC Arouca win24%4.174.0023.4%+0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Heim share of expected goals 55.3%
Total expected goals3.20Eröffnung
Dedicated goals model: Über 62% · Unter 38%
Auswärts share of expected goals 44.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nein 37%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Heim-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchGuimaraes
DWLLL
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4
SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5
Auswärts-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchFC Arouca
WWDLW
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10
SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
49%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
24%4
Points from supplied form
101.77
Expected goals
1.43GuimaraesFC Arouca
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Guimaraes vs FC Arouca FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Guimaraes Gewinn 49%，Unentschieden 27%，FC Arouca Gewinn 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.20 · Über 2.5 62% · Current selection Über。