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ENG England - National League South · Spiel ·

Maidstone Utd vs Farnborough

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–13.62 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg60%
Unentschieden22%
Auswärtssieg18%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg60% selection probability
Projected score3–1Maidstone UtdFarnborough
Expected goals3.62Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über70% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
60% / 22% / 18%SpielergebnisHeimsieg60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Farnborough win (17.8%)Doppelte Chance1X82.2%1.22
Über 70% · Unter 30%Goals 2.5Über70%1.43
Ja 61% · Nein 39%Beide Teams treffenJa61%1.64
3.62 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapMaidstone Utd winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maidstone Utd win60%1.671.5359.2%+0.8 pp
Unentschieden22%4.554.0022.7%-0.7 pp
Farnborough win18%5.565.0018.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maidstone Utd2.53

Heim share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals3.62Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 70% · Unter 30%

Farnborough1.09

Auswärts share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nein 39%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Maidstone Utd

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Farnborough

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
18%
13
Points from supplied form
9
2.53
Expected goals
1.09
Maidstone UtdFarnborough
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maidstone Utd signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Farnborough signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Maidstone Utd vs Farnborough FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maidstone Utd Gewinn 60%,Unentschieden 22%,Farnborough Gewinn 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Über 2.5 70% · Current selection Über