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ENG Англия - Национальная лига - Юг · Матч ·

Мейдстон Юнайтед vs Фарнборо

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score3–13.62 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев60%
Ничья22%
Победа гостей18%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев60% selection probability
Projected score3–1Мейдстон ЮнайтедФарнборо
Expected goals3.62Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше70% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
60% / 22% / 18%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фарнборо win (17.8%)Двойной шанс1X82.2%1.22
Больше 70% · Меньше 30%Goals 2.5Больше70%1.43
Да 61% · Нет 39%Обе забьютДа61%1.64
3.62 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapМейдстон Юнайтед winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Мейдстон Юнайтед win60%1.671.5359.2%+0.8 pp
Ничья22%4.554.0022.7%-0.7 pp
Фарнборо win18%5.565.0018.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Мейдстон Юнайтед2.53

Хозяева share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals3.62Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 70% · Меньше 30%

Фарнборо1.09

Гости share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 61% · Нет 39%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Мейдстон Юнайтед

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Фарнборо

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
18%
13
Points from supplied form
9
2.53
Expected goals
1.09
Мейдстон ЮнайтедФарнборо
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Мейдстон Юнайтед signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фарнборо signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Мейдстон Юнайтед vs Фарнборо FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Мейдстон Юнайтед выигрыш 60%,Ничья 22%,Фарнборо выигрыш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · ТБ 2.5 70% · Current selection Больше