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ENG Англия - Национална Лига - Юг · Мач ·

Мейдстоун Юн vs Фарнбъро

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score3–13.62 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина60%
Равен22%
Победа за госта18%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина60% selection probability
Projected score3–1Мейдстоун ЮнФарнбъро
Expected goals3.62Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над70% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
60% / 22% / 18%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фарнбъро win (17.6%)Двоен шанс1X82.4%1.21
Над 70% · Под 30%Goals 2.5Над70%1.43
Да 61% · Не 39%И двата отбора да отбележатДа61%1.64
3.62 total expected goalsТочен резултат3–1
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Мейдстоун Юн win60%1.671.5059.7%+0.3 pp
Равен22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Фарнбъро win18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Мейдстоун Юн2.53

Домакин share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals3.62Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 70% · Под 30%

Фарнбъро1.09

Гост share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 61% · Не 39%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Мейдстоун Юн

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Фарнбъро

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
18%
13
Points from supplied form
9
2.53
Expected goals
1.09
Мейдстоун ЮнФарнбъро
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Мейдстоун Юн signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фарнбъро signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Мейдстоун Юн vs Фарнбъро FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Мейдстоун Юн печеливш 60%,Равен 22%,Фарнбъро печеливш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Над 2.5 70% · Current selection Над