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BRA Brasilien - Serie A · Spiel ·

Corinthians vs Santos

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg51%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg21%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg51% selection probability
Projected score2–1CorinthiansSantos
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
51% / 28% / 21%SpielergebnisHeimsieg51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Santos win (20.7%)Doppelte Chance1X79.3%1.26
Über 45% · Unter 55%Goals 2.5Unter55%1.82
Ja 48% · Nein 52%Beide Teams treffenNein52%1.92
2.46 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapCorinthians winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Corinthians win51%1.961.8051.4%-0.4 pp
Unentschieden28%3.573.3028%0.0 pp
Santos win21%4.764.5020.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Corinthians1.53

Heim share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 45% · Unter 55%

Santos0.93

Auswärts share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nein 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Corinthians

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Santos

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.53
Expected goals
0.93
CorinthiansSantos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Corinthians signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santos signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Corinthians vs Santos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Corinthians Gewinn 51%,Unentschieden 28%,Santos Gewinn 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Über 2.5 45% · Current selection Unter