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BRA Brazil Serie A · Maç ·

Corinthians vs Santos

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır51%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır21%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır51% selection probability
Projected score2–1CorinthiansSantos
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt55% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
51% / 28% / 21%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Santos win (20.7%)Çifte Şans1X79.3%1.26
Üst 45% · Alt 55%Goals 2.5Alt55%1.82
Evet 48% · Hayır 52%Karşılıklı gol varHayır52%1.92
2.46 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.7 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapCorinthians winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Corinthians win51%1.961.8051.4%-0.4 pp
Beraberlik28%3.573.3028%0.0 pp
Santos win21%4.764.5020.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Corinthians1.53

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 45% · Alt 55%

Santos0.93

Deplasman share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 48% · Hayır 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Corinthians

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Santos

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.53
Expected goals
0.93
CorinthiansSantos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Corinthians signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santos signalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Corinthians vs Santos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Corinthians kazanç 51%,Beraberlik 28%,Santos kazanç 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · 2.5 Üst 45% · Current selection Alt