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BRA Brasil - Serie A · Partido ·

Corinthians vs Santos

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local51%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante21%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local51% selection probability
Projected score2–1CorinthiansSantos
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de55% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
51% / 28% / 21%Resultado del partidoVictoria local51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Santos win (20.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X79.3%1.26
Más de 45% · Menos de 55%Goals 2.5Menos de55%1.82
Sí 48% · No 52%Ambos equipos marcanNo52%1.92
2.46 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapCorinthians winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Corinthians win51%1.961.8051.4%-0.4 pp
Empate28%3.573.3028%0.0 pp
Santos win21%4.764.5020.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Corinthians1.53

Local share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 45% · Menos de 55%

Santos0.93

Visitante share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Corinthians

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Santos

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Ganado probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.53
Expected goals
0.93
CorinthiansSantos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Corinthians signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santos signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Corinthians vs Santos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Corinthians ganada 51%,Empate 28%,Santos ganada 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Más de 2.5 45% · Current selection Menos de