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INT Portugal - 3. Liga · Spiel ·

AD Marco 09 vs Pacos Ferreira

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.27 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg31%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg42%
Market-based forecastAuswärtssiegTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg42% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD Marco 09Pacos Ferreira
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
31% / 27% / 42%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Doppelte Chance1272.6%1.38
Über 40% · Unter 60%Goals 2.5Unter60%1.67
Ja 46% · Nein 54%Beide Teams treffenNein54%1.85
2.27 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Marco 09 win31%3.233.0030%
Unentschieden27%3.703.3027.2%
Pacos Ferreira win42%2.382.1042.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Marco 091.07

Heim share of expected goals 47.1%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 40% · Unter 60%

Pacos Ferreira1.20

Auswärts share of expected goals 52.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nein 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

AD Marco 09

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Pacos Ferreira

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
42%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.07
Expected goals
1.20
AD Marco 09Pacos Ferreira
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Marco 09 signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pacos Ferreira signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

AD Marco 09 vs Pacos Ferreira FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Marco 09 Gewinn 31%,Unentschieden 27%,Pacos Ferreira Gewinn 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Über 2.5 40% · Current selection Unter