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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Final ·

Sertaozinho FC U20 vs Mirassol U20

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–0Prognose 1–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr38%
Uafgjort28%
Udesejr34%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 38% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sertaozinho FC U20Mirassol U20
Expected goals1.61Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under78% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
38% / 28% / 34%KampresultatHjemmesejr38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Dobbeltchance1272.3%1.38
Over 22% · Under 78%Goals 2.5Under78%1.28
Ja 30% · Nej 70%Begge hold scorerNej70%1.43
1.61 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sertaozinho FC U20 win38%2.632.3538%0.0 pp
Uafgjort28%3.573.3027%+1.0 pp
Mirassol U20 win34%2.942.5535%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sertaozinho FC U200.92

Hjemme share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals1.61Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 22% · Under 78%

Mirassol U200.69

Ude share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 30% · Nej 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Sertaozinho FC U20

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Mirassol U20

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Point6

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vundet probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
6
0.92
Expected goals
0.69
Sertaozinho FC U20Mirassol U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sertaozinho FC U20 signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mirassol U20 signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sertaozinho FC U20 vs Mirassol U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sertaozinho FC U20 vundet 38%,Uafgjort 28%,Mirassol U20 vundet 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.61 · Over 2.5 22% · Current selection Under