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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Final ·

Sertaozinho FC sub-20 vs Mirassol sub-20

Prediction review

Local form
Final score1–0Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local38%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante34%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 38% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sertaozinho FC sub-20Mirassol sub-20
Expected goals1.61Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de78% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
38% / 28% / 34%Resultado del partidoVictoria local38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Doble Oportunidad1272.3%1.38
Más de 22% · Menos de 78%Goals 2.5Menos de78%1.28
Sí 30% · No 70%Ambos equipos marcanNo70%1.43
1.61 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sertaozinho FC sub-20 win38%2.632.3538%0.0 pp
Empate28%3.573.3027%+1.0 pp
Mirassol sub-20 win34%2.942.5535%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sertaozinho FC sub-200.92

Local share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals1.61Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 22% · Menos de 78%

Mirassol sub-200.69

Visitante share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 30% · No 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Sertaozinho FC sub-20

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Mirassol sub-20

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Ganado probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
6
0.92
Expected goals
0.69
Sertaozinho FC sub-20Mirassol sub-20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sertaozinho FC sub-20 signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mirassol sub-20 signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sertaozinho FC sub-20 vs Mirassol sub-20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sertaozinho FC sub-20 ganada 38%,Empate 28%,Mirassol sub-20 ganada 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.61 · Más de 2.5 22% · Current selection Menos de