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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Final ·

Sertaozinho FC Sub20 vs Mirassol Sub20

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score1–0Previsão 1–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa38%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante34%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 38% selection probability
Prediction Acertou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sertaozinho FC Sub20Mirassol Sub20
Expected goals1.61Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo78% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
38% / 28% / 34%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Dupla Chance1272.3%1.38
Acima 22% · Abaixo 78%Goals 2.5Abaixo78%1.28
Sim 30% · Não 70%Ambas as equipes marcamNão70%1.43
1.61 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sertaozinho FC Sub20 win38%2.632.3538%0.0 pp
Empate28%3.573.3027%+1.0 pp
Mirassol Sub20 win34%2.942.5535%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sertaozinho FC Sub200.92

Mandante share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals1.61Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 22% · Abaixo 78%

Mirassol Sub200.69

Visitante share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 30% · Não 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Sertaozinho FC Sub20

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Mirassol Sub20

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontos6

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
6
0.92
Expected goals
0.69
Sertaozinho FC Sub20Mirassol Sub20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sertaozinho FC Sub20 signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mirassol Sub20 signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sertaozinho FC Sub20 vs Mirassol Sub20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sertaozinho FC Sub20 ganhou 38%,Empate 28%,Mirassol Sub20 ganhou 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.61 · Acima 2.5 22% · Current selection Abaixo