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PRT Portugal - Segunda Liga · Kamp ·

SC Farense vs Torreense

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–11.85 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr28%
Uafgjort30%
Udesejr43%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr43% selection probability
Projected score1–1SC FarenseTorreense
Expected goals1.85Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under72% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
28% / 30% / 43%KampresultatUdesejr43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SC Farense win (27.6%)DobbeltchanceX272.4%1.38
Over 28% · Under 72%Goals 2.5Under72%1.39
Ja 36% · Nej 64%Begge hold scorerNej64%1.56
1.85 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapTorreense winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Farense win28%3.573.2027.9%+0.1 pp
Uafgjort30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
Torreense win43%2.332.1042.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Farense0.75

Hjemme share of expected goals 40.5%

Total expected goals1.85Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 28% · Under 72%

Torreense1.10

Ude share of expected goals 59.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 36% · Nej 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

SC Farense

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Torreense

2.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Point11

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Vundet probability excluding draw
43%
8
Points from supplied form
11
0.75
Expected goals
1.10
SC FarenseTorreense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Farense signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Torreense signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

SC Farense vs Torreense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Farense vundet 28%,Uafgjort 30%,Torreense vundet 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.85 · Over 2.5 28% · Current selection Under