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PRT Portugal Segunda Liga · Fixture ·

SC Farense vs Torreense

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.85 expected goals
Away form
Home win28%
Draw30%
Away win43%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win43% selection probability
Projected score1–1SC FarenseTorreense
Expected goals1.85Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under72% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 30% / 43%Match resultAway win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SC Farense win (27.6%)Double chanceX272.4%1.38
Over 28% · Under 72%Goals 2.5Under72%1.39
Yes 36% · No 64%Both teams scoreNo64%1.56
1.85 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapTorreense winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Farense win28%3.573.2027.9%+0.1 pp
Draw30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
Torreense win43%2.332.1042.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Farense0.75

Home share of expected goals 40.5%

Total expected goals1.85Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 28% · Under 72%

Torreense1.10

Away share of expected goals 59.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 36% · No 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

SC Farense

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Torreense

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Win probability excluding draw
43%
8
Points from supplied form
11
0.75
Expected goals
1.10
SC FarenseTorreense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Farense signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Torreense signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

SC Farense vs Torreense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Farense win 28%,Draw 30%,Torreense win 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.85 · Over 2.5 28% · Current selection Under