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PRT Portugal - Segunda Liga · Round 1 ·

Benfica B vs Leixoes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr40%
Uafgjort27%
Udesejr33%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr40% selection probability
Projected score2–1Benfica BLeixoes
Expected goals3.10Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
40% / 27% / 33%KampresultatHjemmesejr40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Dobbeltchance1272.9%1.37
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Ja 62% · Nej 38%Begge hold scorerJa62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Benfica B win40%2.50
Uafgjort27%3.70
Leixoes win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Benfica B1.69

Hjemme share of expected goals 54.5%

Total expected goals3.10Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Leixoes1.41

Ude share of expected goals 45.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 62% · Nej 38%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Benfica B

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Leixoes

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vundet probability excluding draw
33%
6
Points from supplied form
12
1.69
Expected goals
1.41
Benfica BLeixoes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Benfica B signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Leixoes signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Benfica B vs Leixoes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Benfica B vundet 40%,Uafgjort 27%,Leixoes vundet 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over