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CHN China Division 1 · Round 17 ·

Nanjing City vs Nantong Zhiyun

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr25%
Uafgjort30%
Udesejr45%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nanjing CityNantong Zhiyun
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under64% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
25% / 30% / 45%KampresultatUdesejr45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nanjing City win (25%)DobbeltchanceX275%1.33
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Ja 39% · Nej 61%Begge hold scorerNej61%1.64
2.12 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapNanjing City winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nanjing City win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Uafgjort30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
Nantong Zhiyun win45%2.222.0044.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nanjing City0.72

Hjemme share of expected goals 34%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%

Nantong Zhiyun1.40

Ude share of expected goals 66%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nej 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Nanjing City

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Nantong Zhiyun

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalUde unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vundet probability excluding draw
45%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.72
Expected goals
1.40
Nanjing CityNantong Zhiyun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nanjing City signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nantong Zhiyun signalUde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Nanjing City vs Nantong Zhiyun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nanjing City vundet 25%,Uafgjort 30%,Nantong Zhiyun vundet 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under