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CHN China Division 1 · Round 17 ·

Nanjing City vs Nantong Zhiyun

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy26%
Remis31%
Wygrana gości43%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nanjing CityNantong Zhiyun
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej64% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
26% / 31% / 43%Wynik meczuWygrana gości43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nanjing City win (26.3%)Podwójna szansaX273.7%1.36
Powyżej 36% · Poniżej 64%Goals 2.5Poniżej64%1.56
Tak 39% · Nie 61%Obie drużyny strzeląNie61%1.64
2.12 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.2 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapNanjing City winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nanjing City win26%3.853.3027%-1.0 pp
Remis31%3.232.9030.7%+0.3 pp
Nantong Zhiyun win43%2.332.1042.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nanjing City0.72

Gospodarze share of expected goals 34%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 36% · Poniżej 64%

Nantong Zhiyun1.40

Goście share of expected goals 66%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 39% · Nie 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Nanjing City

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Nantong Zhiyun

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
43%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.72
Expected goals
1.40
Nanjing CityNantong Zhiyun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nanjing City signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nantong Zhiyun signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Nanjing City vs Nantong Zhiyun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nanjing City wygrana 26%,Remis 31%,Nantong Zhiyun wygrana 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Powyżej 2.5 36% · Current selection Poniżej