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CHN China Division 1 · Round 17 ·

Nanjing City vs Nantong Zhiyun

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier26%
Uavgjort31%
Borteseier43%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nanjing CityNantong Zhiyun
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under64% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
26% / 31% / 43%KampresultatBorteseier43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nanjing City win (26.3%)Dobbel sjanseX273.7%1.36
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Ja 39% · Nei 61%Begge lag scorerNei61%1.64
2.12 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapNanjing City winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nanjing City win26%3.853.3027%-1.0 pp
Uavgjort31%3.232.9030.7%+0.3 pp
Nantong Zhiyun win43%2.332.1042.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nanjing City0.72

Hjemme share of expected goals 34%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%

Nantong Zhiyun1.40

Borte share of expected goals 66%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nei 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Nanjing City

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Nantong Zhiyun

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalBorte unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
43%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.72
Expected goals
1.40
Nanjing CityNantong Zhiyun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nanjing City signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nantong Zhiyun signalBorte unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Nanjing City vs Nantong Zhiyun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nanjing City vunnet 26%,Uavgjort 31%,Nantong Zhiyun vunnet 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under