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SWE Sweden Superettan · Kamp ·

IFK Norrköping vs IK Brage

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr63%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr14%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr63% selection probability
Projected score2–1IFK NorrköpingIK Brage
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
63% / 23% / 14%KampresultatHjemmesejr63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IK Brage win (14.3%)Dobbeltchance1X85.7%1.17
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Ja 42% · Nej 58%Begge hold scorerNej58%1.72
2.91 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
IFK Norrköping win63%1.59
Uafgjort23%4.35
IK Brage win14%7.14

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Norrköping2.27

Hjemme share of expected goals 78%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

IK Brage0.64

Ude share of expected goals 22%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nej 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

IFK Norrköping

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

IK Brage

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Vundet probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
2.27
Expected goals
0.64
IFK NorrköpingIK Brage
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Norrköping signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IK Brage signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

IFK Norrköping vs IK Brage FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Norrköping vundet 63%,Uafgjort 23%,IK Brage vundet 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over