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SWE Švédsko - Superettan · Zápas ·

IFK Norrkoping vs IK Brage

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich63%
Remíza23%
Výhra hostí14%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich63% selection probability
Projected score2–1IFK NorrkopingIK Brage
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac55% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
63% / 23% / 14%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IK Brage win (14.3%)Dvojitá šanca1X85.7%1.17
Viac 55% · Menej 45%Goals 2.5Viac55%1.82
Áno 42% · Nie 58%Oba tímy skórujúNie58%1.72
2.90 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
10.0 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
IFK Norrkoping win63%1.59
Remíza23%4.35
IK Brage win14%7.14

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Norrkoping2.27

Domáci share of expected goals 78.3%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 55% · Menej 45%

IK Brage0.63

Hostia share of expected goals 21.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 42% · Nie 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

IFK Norrkoping

2.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

IK Brage

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Výhra probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
2.27
Expected goals
0.63
IFK NorrkopingIK Brage
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Norrkoping signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IK Brage signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

IFK Norrkoping vs IK Brage FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Norrkoping výhra 63%,Remíza 23%,IK Brage výhra 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Viac 2.5 55% · Current selection Viac