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SWE Švédsko - Superettan · Zápas ·

IFK Norrkoping vs IK Brage

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích63%
Remíza23%
Výhra hostů14%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích63% selection probability
Projected score2–1IFK NorrkopingIK Brage
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Více56% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
63% / 23% / 14%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IK Brage win (14.3%)Dvojitá šance1X85.7%1.17
Více 56% · Méně 44%Goals 2.5Více56%1.79
Ano 42% · Ne 58%Oba týmy skórujíNe58%1.72
2.91 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
10.0 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
IFK Norrkoping win63%1.59
Remíza23%4.35
IK Brage win14%7.14

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Norrkoping2.27

Domácí share of expected goals 78%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 56% · Méně 44%

IK Brage0.64

Hosté share of expected goals 22%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 42% · Ne 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

IFK Norrkoping

2.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

IK Brage

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Výhra probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
2.27
Expected goals
0.64
IFK NorrkopingIK Brage
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Norrkoping signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IK Brage signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

IFK Norrkoping vs IK Brage FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Norrkoping výhra 63%,Remíza 23%,IK Brage výhra 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Více 2.5 56% · Current selection Více