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SWE Sweden Superettan · Kamp ·

Ostersunds FK vs GIF Sundsvall

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr63%
Uafgjort22%
Udesejr15%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ostersunds FKGIF Sundsvall
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
63% / 22% / 15%KampresultatHjemmesejr63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes GIF Sundsvall win (14.6%)Dobbeltchance1X85.4%1.17
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Begge hold scorerNej55%1.82
2.74 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ostersunds FK win63%1.591.4262.8%+0.2 pp
Uafgjort22%4.554.0022.3%-0.3 pp
GIF Sundsvall win15%6.676.0014.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ostersunds FK2.02

Hjemme share of expected goals 73.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

GIF Sundsvall0.72

Ude share of expected goals 26.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Ostersunds FK

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

GIF Sundsvall

0.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Point0

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Vundet probability excluding draw
15%
10
Points from supplied form
0
2.02
Expected goals
0.72
Ostersunds FKGIF Sundsvall
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ostersunds FK signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GIF Sundsvall signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Ostersunds FK vs GIF Sundsvall FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ostersunds FK vundet 63%,Uafgjort 22%,GIF Sundsvall vundet 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over