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SWE Sweden Superettan · Spiel ·

Ostersunds FK vs GIF Sundsvall

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg63%
Unentschieden22%
Auswärtssieg15%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ostersunds FKGIF Sundsvall
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über52% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
63% / 22% / 15%SpielergebnisHeimsieg63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes GIF Sundsvall win (14.6%)Doppelte Chance1X85.4%1.17
Über 52% · Unter 48%Goals 2.5Über52%1.92
Ja 45% · Nein 55%Beide Teams treffenNein55%1.82
2.74 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ostersunds FK win63%1.591.4262.8%+0.2 pp
Unentschieden22%4.554.0022.3%-0.3 pp
GIF Sundsvall win15%6.676.0014.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ostersunds FK2.02

Heim share of expected goals 73.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 52% · Unter 48%

GIF Sundsvall0.72

Auswärts share of expected goals 26.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nein 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Ostersunds FK

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

GIF Sundsvall

0.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punkte0

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
15%
10
Points from supplied form
0
2.02
Expected goals
0.72
Ostersunds FKGIF Sundsvall
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ostersunds FK signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GIF Sundsvall signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Ostersunds FK vs GIF Sundsvall FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ostersunds FK Gewinn 63%,Unentschieden 22%,GIF Sundsvall Gewinn 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Über 2.5 52% · Current selection Über