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INT Ecuador - LigaPro Serie B · Kamp ·

LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–11.46 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr41%
Uafgjort30%
Udesejr29%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr41% selection probability
Projected score1–1LDU PortoviejoCumbaya
Expected goals1.46Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under82% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej73% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
41% / 30% / 29%KampresultatHjemmesejr41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cumbaya win (28.7%)Dobbeltchance1X71.3%1.40
Over 18% · Under 82%Goals 2.5Under82%1.22
Ja 27% · Nej 73%Begge hold scorerNej73%1.37
1.46 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapLDU Portoviejo winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LDU Portoviejo win41%2.442.1541.5%-0.5 pp
Uafgjort30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
Cumbaya win29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LDU Portoviejo0.80

Hjemme share of expected goals 54.8%

Total expected goals1.46Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 18% · Under 82%

Cumbaya0.66

Ude share of expected goals 45.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 27% · Nej 73%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

LDU Portoviejo

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Cumbaya

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Point6

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vundet probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
6
0.80
Expected goals
0.66
LDU PortoviejoCumbaya
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LDU Portoviejo signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cumbaya signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LDU Portoviejo vundet 41%,Uafgjort 30%,Cumbaya vundet 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.46 · Over 2.5 18% · Current selection Under