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INT Ecuador - LigaPro Serie B · Partita ·

LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.46 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa41%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite29%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa41% selection probability
Projected score1–1LDU PortoviejoCumbaya
Expected goals1.46Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto82% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo73% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
41% / 30% / 29%Esito partitaVittoria casa41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cumbaya win (28.7%)Doppia Chance1X71.3%1.40
Sopra 18% · Sotto 82%Goals 2.5Sotto82%1.22
Sì 27% · No 73%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo73%1.37
1.46 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapLDU Portoviejo winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LDU Portoviejo win41%2.442.1541.5%-0.5 pp
Pareggio30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
Cumbaya win29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LDU Portoviejo0.80

Casa share of expected goals 54.8%

Total expected goals1.46Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 18% · Sotto 82%

Cumbaya0.66

Trasferta share of expected goals 45.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 27% · No 73%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

LDU Portoviejo

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Cumbaya

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vinta probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
6
0.80
Expected goals
0.66
LDU PortoviejoCumbaya
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LDU Portoviejo signalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cumbaya signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LDU Portoviejo vinta 41%,Pareggio 30%,Cumbaya vinta 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.46 · Sopra 2.5 18% · Current selection Sotto