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NOR Norway Eliteserien · Kamp ·

Vålerenga vs Bodø/Glimt

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–33.73 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr16%
Uafgjort21%
Udesejr63%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr63% selection probability
Projected score1–3VålerengaBodø/Glimt
Expected goals3.73Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over72% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
16% / 21% / 63%KampresultatUdesejr63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vålerenga win (16.4%)DobbeltchanceX283.6%1.20
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Ja 58% · Nej 42%Begge hold scorerJa58%1.72
3.73 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–3
11.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Vålerenga win16%6.25
Uafgjort21%4.76
Bodø/Glimt win63%1.59

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vålerenga0.97

Hjemme share of expected goals 26%

Total expected goals3.73Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%

Bodø/Glimt2.76

Ude share of expected goals 74%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 58% · Nej 42%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Vålerenga

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Bodø/Glimt

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Vundet probability excluding draw
63%
9
Points from supplied form
13
0.97
Expected goals
2.76
VålerengaBodø/Glimt
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vålerenga signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bodø/Glimt signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Vålerenga vs Bodø/Glimt FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–3 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vålerenga vundet 16%,Uafgjort 21%,Bodø/Glimt vundet 63%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.73 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over