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PRT Portugalsko - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Benfica Castelo Branco vs Naval 1893

Prediction review

Domácí form
Final score1–4Předpověď 1–1
Hosté form
Výhra domácích43%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostů28%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 43% selection probability
Prediction Neúspěšná
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Benfica Castelo BrancoNaval 1893
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně60% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
43% / 29% / 28%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Naval 1893 win (27.9%)Dvojitá šance1X72.1%1.39
Více 40% · Méně 60%Goals 2.5Méně60%1.67
Ano 46% · Ne 54%Oba týmy skórujíNe54%1.85
2.30 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
8.9 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapBenfica Castelo Branco winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Benfica Castelo Branco win43%2.332.1042.9%+0.1 pp
Remíza29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Naval 1893 win28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Benfica Castelo Branco1.35

Domácí share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 40% · Méně 60%

Naval 18930.95

Hosté share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 46% · Ne 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Benfica Castelo Branco

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Naval 1893

2.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Výhra probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.35
Expected goals
0.95
Benfica Castelo BrancoNaval 1893
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Benfica Castelo Branco signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Naval 1893 signalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Benfica Castelo Branco vs Naval 1893 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Benfica Castelo Branco výhra 43%,Remíza 29%,Naval 1893 výhra 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Více 2.5 40% · Current selection Méně