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PRT Portugalia - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Benfica Castelo Branco vs Naval 1893

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score1–4Prognoza 1–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy43%
Remis29%
Wygrana gości28%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 43% selection probability
Prediction Nietrafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Benfica Castelo BrancoNaval 1893
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej60% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
43% / 29% / 28%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Naval 1893 win (27.9%)Podwójna szansa1X72.1%1.39
Powyżej 40% · Poniżej 60%Goals 2.5Poniżej60%1.67
Tak 46% · Nie 54%Obie drużyny strzeląNie54%1.85
2.30 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.9 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapBenfica Castelo Branco winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Benfica Castelo Branco win43%2.332.1042.9%+0.1 pp
Remis29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Naval 1893 win28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Benfica Castelo Branco1.35

Gospodarze share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 40% · Poniżej 60%

Naval 18930.95

Goście share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 46% · Nie 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Benfica Castelo Branco

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Naval 1893

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.35
Expected goals
0.95
Benfica Castelo BrancoNaval 1893
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Benfica Castelo Branco signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Naval 1893 signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Benfica Castelo Branco vs Naval 1893 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Benfica Castelo Branco wygrana 43%,Remis 29%,Naval 1893 wygrana 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Powyżej 2.5 40% · Current selection Poniżej