Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
43% / 29% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Naval 1893 win (27.9%)Double chance1X72.1%1.39
Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%Goals 2.5Moins de60%1.67
Oui 46% · Non 54%Les deux équipes marquentNon54%1.85
2.30 total expected goalsScore exact1–1——
8.9 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapBenfica Castelo Branco winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Benfica Castelo Branco win43%2.332.1042.9%+0.1 pp
Nul29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Naval 1893 win28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 58.7%
Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%
Extérieur share of expected goals 41.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 46% · Non 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchBenfica Castelo Branco
WLLWD
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchNaval 1893
LWDWW
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%7
Points from supplied form
101.35
Expected goals
0.95Benfica Castelo BrancoNaval 1893
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Benfica Castelo Branco vs Naval 1893 FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Benfica Castelo Branco victoire 43%，Nul 29%，Naval 1893 victoire 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.30 · Plus de 2.5 40% · Current selection Moins de。