TimeMatch & formMatch resultPublished forecast1X2 gap
127%X25%248%
Tier AAway win48% · Full model
—no reference market
148%X29%223%
Tier AHome win48% · Full model
—no reference market
127%X29%244%
Tier AAway win44% · Full model
—no reference market
144%X27%229%
Tier BHome win44% · Market-based
—no edge claim
142%X30%228%
Tier AHome win42% · Full model
—no reference market
140%X27%234%
Tier CHome win40% · Baseline
—no reference market
140%X27%234%
Tier CHome win40% · Baseline
—no reference market
140%X27%234%
Tier CHome win40% · Baseline
—no reference market
137%X30%233%
Tier AHome win37% · Full model
—no reference market