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FRA France Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Sochaux vs St Etienne

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw27%
Away win34%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1SochauxSt Etienne
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 27% / 34%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Double chance1273.4%1.36
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sochaux win40%2.50
Draw27%3.70
St Etienne win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sochaux1.34

Home share of expected goals 52.5%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

St Etienne1.21

Away share of expected goals 47.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sochaux

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalAway won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

St Etienne

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
0
Points from supplied form
9
1.34
Expected goals
1.21
SochauxSt Etienne
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sochaux signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St Etienne signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Sochaux vs St Etienne FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sochaux win 40%,Draw 27%,St Etienne win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under