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FRA France - Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Sochaux vs St Etienne

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile40%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur34%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile40% selection probability
Projected score1–1SochauxSt Etienne
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de53% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
40% / 27% / 34%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Double chance1273.4%1.36
Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%Goals 2.5Moins de53%1.89
Oui 52% · Non 48%Les deux équipes marquentOui52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Sochaux win40%2.50
Nul27%3.70
St Etienne win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sochaux1.34

Domicile share of expected goals 52.5%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%

St Etienne1.21

Extérieur share of expected goals 47.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 52% · Non 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Sochaux

0.00pts / match
Joués1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalExtérieur won 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

St Etienne

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gagné probability excluding draw
34%
0
Points from supplied form
9
1.34
Expected goals
1.21
SochauxSt Etienne
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sochaux signalExtérieur won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St Etienne signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Sochaux vs St Etienne FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sochaux victoire 40%,Nul 27%,St Etienne victoire 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Plus de 2.5 47% · Current selection Moins de