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EST Естония - Есилига Б · Мач ·

ФА Калев Тарту vs Талина Калев 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score3–24.78 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина65%
Равен16%
Победа за госта19%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина65% selection probability
Projected score3–2ФА Калев ТартуТалина Калев 2
Expected goals4.78Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над86% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа79% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
65% / 16% / 19%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (16.3%)Двоен шанс1283.7%1.19
Над 86% · Под 14%Goals 2.5Над86%1.16
Да 79% · Не 21%И двата отбора да отбележатДа79%1.27
4.78 total expected goalsТочен резултат3–2
10.9 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФА Калев Тарту win65%1.541.3864.9%+0.1 pp
Равен16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp
Талина Калев 2 win19%5.264.7518.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФА Калев Тарту3.05

Домакин share of expected goals 63.8%

Total expected goals4.78Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 86% · Под 14%

Талина Калев 21.73

Гост share of expected goals 36.2%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitДа 79% · Не 21%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

ФА Калев Тарту

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Талина Калев 2

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
7
3.05
Expected goals
1.73
ФА Калев ТартуТалина Калев 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФА Калев Тарту signalДомакин won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Талина Калев 2 signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

ФА Калев Тарту vs Талина Калев 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 3–2 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФА Калев Тарту печеливш 65%,Равен 16%,Талина Калев 2 печеливш 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.78 · Над 2.5 86% · Current selection Над