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EST Estonia - Esiliiga B · Partita ·

FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Tallinna Kalev II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–24.78 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa65%
Pareggio16%
Vittoria ospite19%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa65% selection probability
Projected score3–2FA Kalev TartuJK Tallinna Kalev II
Expected goals4.78Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra86% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano79% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
65% / 16% / 19%Esito partitaVittoria casa65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (16.3%)Doppia Chance1283.7%1.19
Sopra 86% · Sotto 14%Goals 2.5Sopra86%1.16
Sì 79% · No 21%Entrambe le squadre segnano79%1.27
4.78 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–2
10.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FA Kalev Tartu win65%1.541.3864.9%+0.1 pp
Pareggio16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp
JK Tallinna Kalev II win19%5.264.7518.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FA Kalev Tartu3.05

Casa share of expected goals 63.8%

Total expected goals4.78Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 86% · Sotto 14%

JK Tallinna Kalev II1.73

Trasferta share of expected goals 36.2%

Projected score3–2BTTS split 79% · No 21%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

FA Kalev Tartu

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev II

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Vinta probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
7
3.05
Expected goals
1.73
FA Kalev TartuJK Tallinna Kalev II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FA Kalev Tartu signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Tallinna Kalev II signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Tallinna Kalev II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–2 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FA Kalev Tartu vinta 65%,Pareggio 16%,JK Tallinna Kalev II vinta 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.78 · Sopra 2.5 86% · Current selection Sopra