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EST Estonia - Esiliiga B · Mecz ·

FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Tallinna Kalev II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score3–24.78 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy65%
Remis16%
Wygrana gości19%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy65% selection probability
Projected score3–2FA Kalev TartuJK Tallinna Kalev II
Expected goals4.78Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej86% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak79% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
65% / 16% / 19%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (16.3%)Podwójna szansa1283.7%1.19
Powyżej 86% · Poniżej 14%Goals 2.5Powyżej86%1.16
Tak 79% · Nie 21%Obie drużyny strzeląTak79%1.27
4.78 total expected goalsDokładny wynik3–2
10.9 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FA Kalev Tartu win65%1.541.3864.9%+0.1 pp
Remis16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp
JK Tallinna Kalev II win19%5.264.7518.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FA Kalev Tartu3.05

Gospodarze share of expected goals 63.8%

Total expected goals4.78Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 86% · Poniżej 14%

JK Tallinna Kalev II1.73

Goście share of expected goals 36.2%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitTak 79% · Nie 21%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

FA Kalev Tartu

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev II

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
7
3.05
Expected goals
1.73
FA Kalev TartuJK Tallinna Kalev II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FA Kalev Tartu signalGospodarze won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Tallinna Kalev II signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Tallinna Kalev II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 3–2 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FA Kalev Tartu wygrana 65%,Remis 16%,JK Tallinna Kalev II wygrana 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.78 · Powyżej 2.5 86% · Current selection Powyżej