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BRA Бразилия - Купа Паулиста · Мач ·

Униао Сао Жоао vs Комерсиал СП

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина39%
Равен32%
Победа за госта30%
Market-based forecastПобеда за домакинаTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Униао Сао ЖоаоКомерсиал СП
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под61% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
39% / 32% / 30%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Комерсиал СП win (29.7%)Двоен шанс1X70.3%1.42
Над 39% · Под 61%Goals 2.5Под61%1.64
Да 46% · Не 54%И двата отбора да отбележатНе54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.0 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Униао Сао Жоао win39%2.562.3538.1%
Равен32%3.132.8032%
Комерсиал СП win30%3.333.0029.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Униао Сао Жоао1.23

Домакин share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 39% · Под 61%

Комерсиал СП1.02

Гост share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Не 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Униао Сао Жоао

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Комерсиал СП

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalГост matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.23
Expected goals
1.02
Униао Сао ЖоаоКомерсиал СП
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Униао Сао Жоао signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Комерсиал СП signalГост matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Униао Сао Жоао vs Комерсиал СП FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Униао Сао Жоао печеливш 39%,Равен 32%,Комерсиал СП печеливш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Над 2.5 39% · Current selection Под