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BRA Brasilien - Paulista Cup · Match ·

Uniao Sao Joao vs Comercial SP

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger39%
Oavgjort32%
Bortaseger30%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Uniao Sao JoaoComercial SP
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
39% / 32% / 30%MatchresultatHemmaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Comercial SP win (29.7%)Dubbelchans1X70.3%1.42
Över 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 46% · Nej 54%Båda lagen gör målNej54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.0 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Uniao Sao Joao win39%2.562.3538.1%
Oavgjort32%3.132.8032%
Comercial SP win30%3.333.0029.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Uniao Sao Joao1.23

Hemma share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 39% · Under 61%

Comercial SP1.02

Borta share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nej 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Uniao Sao Joao

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Comercial SP

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalBorta matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.23
Expected goals
1.02
Uniao Sao JoaoComercial SP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Uniao Sao Joao signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Comercial SP signalBorta matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Uniao Sao Joao vs Comercial SP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Uniao Sao Joao vunnen 39%,Oavgjort 32%,Comercial SP vunnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Över 2.5 39% · Current selection Under