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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Мач ·

ЛДУ Кито vs Independiente del Valle

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина34%
Равен28%
Победа за госта38%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта38% selection probability
Projected score1–1ЛДУ КитоIndependiente del Valle
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под56% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
34% / 28% / 38%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Двоен шанс1272%1.39
Над 44% · Под 56%Goals 2.5Под56%1.79
Да 49% · Не 51%И двата отбора да отбележатНе51%1.96
2.43 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.1 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapIndependiente del Valle winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ЛДУ Кито win34%2.942.7034.2%-0.2 pp
Равен28%3.573.3028%0.0 pp
Independiente del Valle win38%2.632.4537.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ЛДУ Кито1.09

Домакин share of expected goals 44.9%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 44% · Под 56%

Independiente del Valle1.34

Гост share of expected goals 55.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Не 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

ЛДУ Кито

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Independiente del Valle

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
15
1.09
Expected goals
1.34
ЛДУ КитоIndependiente del Valle
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ЛДУ Кито signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independiente del Valle signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

ЛДУ Кито vs Independiente del Valle FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ЛДУ Кито печеливш 34%,Равен 28%,Independiente del Valle печеливш 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Над 2.5 44% · Current selection Под