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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Zápas ·

LDU Quito vs Independiente del Valle

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich34%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostí38%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí38% selection probability
Projected score1–1LDU QuitoIndependiente del Valle
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej56% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
34% / 28% / 38%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Dvojitá šanca1272%1.39
Viac 44% · Menej 56%Goals 2.5Menej56%1.79
Áno 49% · Nie 51%Oba tímy skórujúNie51%1.96
2.43 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
10.1 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapIndependiente del Valle winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LDU Quito win34%2.942.7034.2%-0.2 pp
Remíza28%3.573.3028%0.0 pp
Independiente del Valle win38%2.632.4537.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LDU Quito1.09

Domáci share of expected goals 44.9%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 44% · Menej 56%

Independiente del Valle1.34

Hostia share of expected goals 55.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 49% · Nie 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

LDU Quito

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Independiente del Valle

3.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Body15

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Výhra probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
15
1.09
Expected goals
1.34
LDU QuitoIndependiente del Valle
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LDU Quito signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independiente del Valle signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

LDU Quito vs Independiente del Valle FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LDU Quito výhra 34%,Remíza 28%,Independiente del Valle výhra 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Viac 2.5 44% · Current selection Menej