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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Mérkőzés ·

LDU Quito vs Independiente del Valle

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem34%
Döntetlen28%
Vendég győzelem38%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem38% selection probability
Projected score1–1LDU QuitoIndependiente del Valle
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt56% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
34% / 28% / 38%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Dupla esély1272%1.39
Felett 44% · Alatt 56%Goals 2.5Alatt56%1.79
Igen 49% · Nem 51%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem51%1.96
2.43 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
10.1 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapIndependiente del Valle winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LDU Quito win34%2.942.7034.2%-0.2 pp
Döntetlen28%3.573.3028%0.0 pp
Independiente del Valle win38%2.632.4537.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LDU Quito1.09

Hazai share of expected goals 44.9%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 44% · Alatt 56%

Independiente del Valle1.34

Vendég share of expected goals 55.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 49% · Nem 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

LDU Quito

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Independiente del Valle

3.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontok15

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Nyert probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
15
1.09
Expected goals
1.34
LDU QuitoIndependiente del Valle
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LDU Quito signalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independiente del Valle signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

LDU Quito vs Independiente del Valle FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LDU Quito nyer 34%,Döntetlen 28%,Independiente del Valle nyer 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · 2.5 felett 44% · Current selection Alatt