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AUS Австралия - Висша Лига 2 на Виктория · Round 23 ·

Молвън Сити vs Ийстърн Лайънс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина64%
Равен20%
Победа за госта16%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Молвън СитиИйстърн Лайънс
Expected goals3.31Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над64% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
64% / 20% / 16%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ийстърн Лайънс win (15.8%)Двоен шанс1X84.2%1.19
Над 64% · Под 36%Goals 2.5Над64%1.56
Да 53% · Не 47%И двата отбора да отбележатДа53%1.89
3.31 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapМолвън Сити winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Молвън Сити win64%1.561.4263%+1.0 pp
Равен20%5.004.3320.7%-0.7 pp
Ийстърн Лайънс win16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Молвън Сити2.46

Домакин share of expected goals 74.3%

Total expected goals3.31Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 64% · Под 36%

Ийстърн Лайънс0.85

Гост share of expected goals 25.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Не 47%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Молвън Сити

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ийстърн Лайънс

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
16%
9
Points from supplied form
6
2.46
Expected goals
0.85
Молвън СитиИйстърн Лайънс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Молвън Сити signalДомакин won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ийстърн Лайънс signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Молвън Сити vs Ийстърн Лайънс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Молвън Сити печеливш 64%,Равен 20%,Ийстърн Лайънс печеливш 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Над 2.5 64% · Current selection Над