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AUS Austrálie - Victoria - Premier League 2 · Round 23 ·

Malvern City vs Eastern Lions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích64%
Remíza20%
Výhra hostů16%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Malvern CityEastern Lions
Expected goals3.31Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více64% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
64% / 20% / 16%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Eastern Lions win (15.8%)Dvojitá šance1X84.2%1.19
Více 64% · Méně 36%Goals 2.5Více64%1.56
Ano 53% · Ne 47%Oba týmy skórujíAno53%1.89
3.31 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
9.7 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapMalvern City winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malvern City win64%1.561.4263%+1.0 pp
Remíza20%5.004.3320.7%-0.7 pp
Eastern Lions win16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malvern City2.46

Domácí share of expected goals 74.3%

Total expected goals3.31Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 64% · Méně 36%

Eastern Lions0.85

Hosté share of expected goals 25.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 53% · Ne 47%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Malvern City

1.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomácí won 3/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Eastern Lions

1.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Body6

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Výhra probability excluding draw
16%
9
Points from supplied form
6
2.46
Expected goals
0.85
Malvern CityEastern Lions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malvern City signalDomácí won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Eastern Lions signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Malvern City vs Eastern Lions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malvern City výhra 64%,Remíza 20%,Eastern Lions výhra 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Více 2.5 64% · Current selection Více