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AUS Αυστραλία - Βικτόρια Πρέμιερ Λιγκ 2 · Round 23 ·

Μάλβερν Σίτι vs Ίστερν Λάιονς

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου64%
Ισοπαλία20%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου16%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Μάλβερν ΣίτιΊστερν Λάιονς
Expected goals3.31Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω64% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
64% / 20% / 16%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ίστερν Λάιονς win (15.8%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X84.2%1.19
Άνω 64% · Κάτω 36%Goals 2.5Άνω64%1.56
Ναι 53% · Όχι 47%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι53%1.89
3.31 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapΜάλβερν Σίτι winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Μάλβερν Σίτι win64%1.561.4263%+1.0 pp
Ισοπαλία20%5.004.3320.7%-0.7 pp
Ίστερν Λάιονς win16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μάλβερν Σίτι2.46

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 74.3%

Total expected goals3.31Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 64% · Κάτω 36%

Ίστερν Λάιονς0.85

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 25.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 53% · Όχι 47%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μάλβερν Σίτι

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Ίστερν Λάιονς

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
16%
9
Points from supplied form
6
2.46
Expected goals
0.85
Μάλβερν ΣίτιΊστερν Λάιονς
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μάλβερν Σίτι signalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ίστερν Λάιονς signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Μάλβερν Σίτι vs Ίστερν Λάιονς FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μάλβερν Σίτι νίκη 64%,Ισοπαλία 20%,Ίστερν Λάιονς νίκη 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Άνω 2.5 64% · Current selection Άνω