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EUR Europe Friendlies · Мач ·

Бургос vs Културал Леонеса

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина56%
Равен24%
Победа за госта20%
Market-based forecastПобеда за домакинаTier B · 56% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина56% selection probability
Projected score2–1БургосКултурал Леонеса
Expected goals3.27Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над63% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа64% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
56% / 24% / 20%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Културал Леонеса win (19.9%)Двоен шанс1X80.1%1.25
Над 63% · Под 37%Goals 2.5Над63%1.59
Да 64% · Не 36%И двата отбора да отбележатДа64%1.56
3.27 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
7.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Бургос win56%1.791.5757%
Равен24%4.173.7024.2%
Културал Леонеса win20%5.004.7518.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бургос2.00

Домакин share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals3.27Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 63% · Под 37%

Културал Леонеса1.27

Гост share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 64% · Не 36%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Бургос

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Културал Леонеса

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
20%
13
Points from supplied form
5
2.00
Expected goals
1.27
БургосКултурал Леонеса
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бургос signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Културал Леонеса signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Бургос vs Културал Леонеса FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бургос печеливш 56%,Равен 24%,Културал Леонеса печеливш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Над 2.5 63% · Current selection Над