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EUR Europe Friendlies · Spiel ·

Burgos vs Cultural Leonesa

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg56%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg20%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 56% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg56% selection probability
Projected score2–1BurgosCultural Leonesa
Expected goals3.27Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
56% / 24% / 20%SpielergebnisHeimsieg56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cultural Leonesa win (19.9%)Doppelte Chance1X80.1%1.25
Über 63% · Unter 37%Goals 2.5Über63%1.59
Ja 64% · Nein 36%Beide Teams treffenJa64%1.56
3.27 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
7.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Burgos win56%1.791.5757%
Unentschieden24%4.173.7024.2%
Cultural Leonesa win20%5.004.7518.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Burgos2.00

Heim share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals3.27Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 63% · Unter 37%

Cultural Leonesa1.27

Auswärts share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nein 36%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Burgos

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Cultural Leonesa

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
20%
13
Points from supplied form
5
2.00
Expected goals
1.27
BurgosCultural Leonesa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Burgos signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cultural Leonesa signalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Burgos vs Cultural Leonesa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Burgos Gewinn 56%,Unentschieden 24%,Cultural Leonesa Gewinn 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Über 2.5 63% · Current selection Über