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EUR Europe Friendlies · Матч ·

Бургос vs Калтурал Леонеса

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев56%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей20%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 56% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев56% selection probability
Projected score2–1БургосКалтурал Леонеса
Expected goals3.27Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше63% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа64% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
56% / 24% / 20%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Калтурал Леонеса win (19.9%)Двойной шанс1X80.1%1.25
Больше 63% · Меньше 37%Goals 2.5Больше63%1.59
Да 64% · Нет 36%Обе забьютДа64%1.56
3.27 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
7.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Бургос win56%1.791.5757%
Ничья24%4.173.7024.2%
Калтурал Леонеса win20%5.004.7518.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бургос2.00

Хозяева share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals3.27Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 63% · Меньше 37%

Калтурал Леонеса1.27

Гости share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 64% · Нет 36%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Бургос

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Калтурал Леонеса

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
20%
13
Points from supplied form
5
2.00
Expected goals
1.27
БургосКалтурал Леонеса
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бургос signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Калтурал Леонеса signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Бургос vs Калтурал Леонеса FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бургос выигрыш 56%,Ничья 24%,Калтурал Леонеса выигрыш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · ТБ 2.5 63% · Current selection Больше