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EUR Europe Friendlies · Мач ·

Цитадела vs Лупарензе

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.30 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина64%
Равен22%
Победа за госта14%
Market-based forecastПобеда за домакинаTier B · 64% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина64% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЦитаделаЛупарензе
Expected goals3.30Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над64% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
64% / 22% / 14%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Лупарензе win (14.2%)Двоен шанс1X85.8%1.17
Над 64% · Под 36%Goals 2.5Над64%1.56
Да 64% · Не 36%И двата отбора да отбележатДа64%1.56
3.30 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.1 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Цитадела win64%1.561.3665.9%
Равен22%4.554.2021.3%
Лупарензе win14%7.147.0012.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Цитадела2.14

Домакин share of expected goals 64.8%

Total expected goals3.30Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 64% · Под 36%

Лупарензе1.16

Гост share of expected goals 35.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 64% · Не 36%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Цитадела

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Лупарензе

0.00pts / match
Изиграни0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Точки0

SignalДомакин won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
14%
10
Points from supplied form
0
2.14
Expected goals
1.16
ЦитаделаЛупарензе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Цитадела signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Лупарензе signalДомакин won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Цитадела vs Лупарензе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Цитадела печеливш 64%,Равен 22%,Лупарензе печеливш 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Над 2.5 64% · Current selection Над