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DEU Германия - Бундеслига I · Мач ·

Борусия Дортмунд vs Хамбургер

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина72%
Равен16%
Победа за госта12%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина72% selection probability
Projected score2–1Борусия ДортмундХамбургер
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над55% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
72% / 16% / 12%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Хамбургер win (11.6%)Двоен шанс1X88.4%1.13
Над 55% · Под 45%Goals 2.5Над55%1.82
Да 45% · Не 55%И двата отбора да отбележатНе55%1.82
2.88 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Борусия Дортмунд win72%1.391.3072%0.0 pp
Равен16%6.255.7516.3%-0.3 pp
Хамбургер win12%8.338.0011.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Борусия Дортмунд2.19

Домакин share of expected goals 76%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 55% · Под 45%

Хамбургер0.69

Гост share of expected goals 24%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Не 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Борусия Дортмунд

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Хамбургер

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
12%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.19
Expected goals
0.69
Борусия ДортмундХамбургер
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Борусия Дортмунд signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Хамбургер signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Борусия Дортмунд vs Хамбургер FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Борусия Дортмунд печеливш 72%,Равен 16%,Хамбургер печеливш 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Над 2.5 55% · Current selection Над